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Ten percent of screws produced in a certain factory turn out to be defective. Find the probability that in a sample of 10 screws chosen at random, exactly two will be defective.
1. 0.2
2. 0.25
3. 0.8
4. 0.3

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Correct Answer - Option 1 : 0.2

Concept:

The probability density function of Poisson’s distribution is

\(p\left( x \right)=\frac{{{e}^{-\lambda }}\cdot {{\lambda }^{x}}}{x!}\)

Where

λ = mean = np

n = number of total outcomes

p = probability of success

Note: This distribution uses where the probability of success i.e. p is very small.

Calculation:

Probability (p) = 0.1

λ = mean = 10 × 0.1 = 1

Probability that exactly two will be defective

\( p\left( x \right)=\frac{{{e}^{-1}}\cdot {{\left( 1 \right)}^{2}}}{2!}\)

= 0.184 ≈ 0.2

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