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Two numbers are chosen independently and uniformly at random from the set {1, 2, . . . , 13}. The probability (rounded off to 3 decimal places) that their 4-bit (unsigned) binary representations have the same most significant bit is ________.

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Unsigned binary representation

Decimal

Set

 

0

0

0

0

0

Not Chosen

 

0

0

0

1

1

Chosen

0 as MSB

0

0

1

0

2

Chosen

0 as MSB

0

0

1

1

3

Chosen

0 as MSB

0

1

0

0

4

Chosen

0 as MSB

0

1

0

1

5

Chosen

0 as MSB

0

1

1

0

6

Chosen

0 as MSB

0

1

1

1

7

Chosen

0 as MSB

1

0

0

0

8

Chosen

1 as MSB

1

0

0

1

9

Chosen

1 as MSB

1

0

1

0

10

Chosen

1 as MSB

1

0

1

1

11

Chosen

1 as MSB

1

1

0

0

12

Chosen

1 as MSB

1

1

0

1

13

Chosen

1 as MSB

1

1

1

0

14

Not Chosen

 

1

1

1

1

15

Not Chosen

 

 

MSB as 0:

\(P\left( {MSB = 0} \right) = \frac{7}{{13}}\)

Since events are independent

\(P\left( {MSB = 0\;and\;MSB = 0} \right) = \frac{7}{{13}} \times \frac{7}{{13}} = 0.28994\)

OR

MSB as 1:

\(P\left( {MSB = 1} \right) = \frac{6}{{13}}\)

Since events are independent

\(P\left( {MSB = 1\;and\;MSB = 1} \right) = \frac{6}{{13}} \times \frac{6}{{13}} = 0.21301\)

Probability that both numbers has same MSB

\(= P\left( {MSB = 0\;and\;MSB = 0} \right)\;or\;P\left( {MSB = 1\;and\;MSB = 1} \right)\)

\(= \frac{7}{{13}} \times \frac{7}{{13}} + \frac{6}{{13}} \times \frac{6}{{13}}\)

= 0.50295

= 0.502 or ≈ 503

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