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The members of a consulting firm rent cars from three rental agencies:

50% from agency X, 30% from agency Y and 20% from agency Z.

From past experience it is known that 9% of the cars from agency X need a service and tuning before renting, 12% of the cars from agency Y need a service and tuning before renting and 10% of the cars from agency Z need a service and tuning before renting. If the rental car delivered to the firm needs service and tuning, find the probability that agency Z is not to be blamed.

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Let A be the event that car delivered to firm needs service and tuning. Also let E1, E2 and E3 be the events of car being rented from agencies X, Y and Z respectively.

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